lundi 18 juillet 2011

Forex Day Trading System

Most people who are interested in Forex trading are ordinary folks with no prior training or experience in short-term trading, that unfortunately are being sold a bill of goods. Late night infomercials irresponsibly tote Forex trading itself as the Holy Grail, and show clips of testimonials from a few lucky people who made some atypical trades. "I made $800 this morning before going to work," "I cleared $3,000 my first week, part-time," that kind of junk.
These infomercials employ a two-step process to jam an expensive product of questionable worth down your throat. Usually it's a piece of software that has arrows which light up red or green, and when all four of them light up green you enter your position. Simple, huh? The software costs about $3,000. But they don't tell you that up front - the television bit just invites you to a free seminar full of happy, excited people. At the seminar they fill your head full of dreams and make the price tag seem like a fraction of your first month's profits. You feel like you are really missing out if you don't join the crowd and get in line to buy.
While there is some merit to the four arrows all lighting green, which indicates that the price trend is all in one direction over several different time-frames, blindly following it is a horrible system. You cannot rightly call yourself a trader if this is your approach. You are just a monkey pushing buttons. Don't plan on making any long-run profits as a monkey - maybe a banana here and there, but you WILL slip on the peels. Think about it - if this software could really make money like they claim (virtually on autopilot), no way do they sell it. They would get much richer simply using it themselves trading large positions.
I'm not saying that daytrading Forex cannot be beaten. Much to the contrary, I trade the EUR/USD successfully intraday. You probably can too. But avoid purchasing an expensive system. In fact, I recommend avoiding mechanical systems altogether. All you need is some basic trader training in the way of technical analysis, some idea of a solid approach, and a little experience watching the markets to get a feel for them.
It's probably best to concentrate on one pair. That's what I do, just the EUR/USD. Sometimes if it really starts moving I will cross check other currencies to try and figure out what is happening, but I don't trade them. By only watching one pair at regular hours you develop a feel for the trading action and can tell when conditions are strange.
There are really only two ways to day trade: Continuation or Reversal. Continuation includes breakouts and trends, while Reversal concentrates on trading ranges at the edges, betting against a breakout. Which hours you trade should dictate which style is best suited for you. If you want to trade during the most active hours you probably want to look for breakouts and try to ride trends. If you are working the quieter hours then fading the edge of the range is a higher-probability setup. Either way, success comes from employing proper risk vs. reward analysis, which means setting your stops and profit targets in the right places.
Personally I trade the after-hours EUR/USD market. It's what I like. Also, it's what's practical for me because I live on the west coast of the USA. So I am only watching the market during the Asia trading period, no other markets are open. And I am looking for trading ranges, particularly double-tops and double-bottoms at prior support and resistance levels. I usually get off 5 good trades per week and win 3 of them, with a win of about 1.5 times my average loss. So it's a good methodology because 1.5+1.5+1.5-1-1 = 2.5. That's a positive number and it's a good one.
Now, if I wanted to play breakouts and trend continuations I would only trade during the New York / London overlap period, which is between 8:00 am and 12:00 noon EST (or very early my time; I would rather not miss out on those early morning dreams). This is the time where those types of trades have the best odds of working out for this pair.
The most important part of any trading system is to have a methodology, stick to it, get good at it, and make it work for you. If you aren't disciplined enough to stick to your trading ideals, then you would be better off being a monkey pushing buttons when the lights all turn green, as your losses will probably be smaller.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/490747

Forex Trading Robots Review

For folks who are involved in foreign-exchange market trading or are interested in it, something that might be very beneficial to read is a Forex trading robots review.  These will give individuals an opportunity to learn about what products are out there that might help them to be successful and make more profits. There are also many unbiased and good reviews written by Forex commentators and veterans such as this article you are reading.
There are many different types of signaling and robotic software packages online. Some require that the user does very little while others require users to be a little more involved in the process.  Because many of these systems are very similar, individuals will have to take a good look at their personal situation, goals and experience.
For people who are just starting out and have not been involved in this type of trading for long, then you might want to go with a product that handles and automates just about everything for you.  Some of these will let their user know when a trade is a good one and potentially profitable.  They may require that the user makes the trade manually, while others will make it for the user automatically. Depending on how involved or hands-on an investor wants to be and how well they know the market, a system that does just about everything for them may be exactly what they need.
On the other hand, if you have been involved in these types of investments in the past and are good at making money from it, then you will likely want a little more control. It would not necessarily be the best for these types of people to use software that will make the trades for them.  Instead, having the final say will likely be very important.  Therefore, these folks may be looking for something that does provide a certain degree of automation but not entirely.
Ultimately, what one should get out of a Forex trading robots review is how much each particular system costs, whether buyers will get a money back guarantee and what features it includes.  You should be able to see proof that it actually works. It would be a bonus if they provide a link to a live demo that can be downloaded and used.  This will give you the opportunity to determine if it's easy enough to use and if you are comfortable with it.
Also, take a close look at exactly what is being offered.  Some will have many sophisticated features while others will be more bare-bones.  It is likely that the latter will be less expensive. However, if you think that you have found something that will make a lot of money, it may be worth spending a little more especially if you can get your investment back if it does not work out.
Now that you know what to look for out when reading a forex trading robots review, it is time to go out and start looking at your options. If you make a good choice, it should be highly likely that your investment is recouped really fast.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/1891261

Forex Trading Tips

Why do hundreds of thousands online traders and investors trade the forex market every day, and how do they make money doing it?
This two-part report clearly and simply details essential tips on how to avoid typical pitfalls and start making more money in your forex trading.
  1. Trade pairs, not currencies - Like any relationship, you have to know both sides. Success or failure in forex trading depends upon being right about both currencies and how they impact one another, not just one.
  2. Knowledge is Power - When starting out trading forex online, it is essential that you understand the basics of this market if you want to make the most of your investments.
    The main forex influencer is global news and events. For example, say an ECB statement is released on European interest rates which typically will cause a flurry of activity. Most newcomers react violently to news like this and close their positions and subsequently miss out on some of the best trading opportunities by waiting until the market calms down. The potential in the forex market is in the volatility, not in its tranquility.
  3. Unambitious trading - Many new traders will place very tight orders in order to take very small profits. This is not a sustainable approach because although you may be profitable in the short run (if you are lucky), you risk losing in the longer term as you have to recover the difference between the bid and the ask price before you can make any profit and this is much more difficult when you make small trades than when you make larger ones.
  4. Over-cautious trading - Like the trader who tries to take small incremental profits all the time, the trader who places tight stop losses with a retail forex broker is doomed. As we stated above, you have to give your position a fair chance to demonstrate its ability to produce. If you don't place reasonable stop losses that allow your trade to do so, you will always end up undercutting yourself and losing a small piece of your deposit with every trade.
  5. Independence - If you are new to forex, you will either decide to trade your own money or to have a broker trade it for you. So far, so good. But your risk of losing increases exponentially if you either of these two things:
    Interfere with what your broker is doing on your behalf (as his strategy might require a long gestation period);
    Seek advice from too many sources - multiple input will only result in multiple losses. Take a position, ride with it and then analyse the outcome - by yourself, for yourself.
  6. Tiny margins - Margin trading is one of the biggest advantages in trading forex as it allows you to trade amounts far larger than the total of your deposits. However, it can also be dangerous to novice traders as it can appeal to the greed factor that destroys many forex traders. The best guideline is to increase your leverage in line with your experience and success.
  7. No strategy - The aim of making money is not a trading strategy. A strategy is your map for how you plan to make money. Your strategy details the approach you are going to take, which currencies you are going to trade and how you will manage your risk. Without a strategy, you may become one of the 90% of new traders that lose their money.
  8. Trading Off-Peak Hours - Professional FX traders, option traders, and hedge funds posses a huge advantage over small retail traders during off-peak hours (between 2200 CET and 1000 CET) as they can hedge their positions and move them around when there is far small trade volume is going through (meaning their risk is smaller). The best advice for trading during off peak hours is simple - don't.
  9. The only way is up/down - When the market is on its way up, the market is on its way up. When the market is going down, the market is going down. That's it. There are many systems which analyse past trends, but none that can accurately predict the future. But if you acknowledge to yourself that all that is happening at any time is that the market is simply moving, you'll be amazed at how hard it is to blame anyone else.
  10. Trade on the news - Most of the really big market moves occur around news time. Trading volume is high and the moves are significant; this means there is no better time to trade than when news is released. This is when the big players adjust their positions and prices change resulting in a serious currency flow.
  11. Exiting Trades - If you place a trade and it's not working out for you, get out. Don't compound your mistake by staying in and hoping for a reversal. If you're in a winning trade, don't talk yourself out of the position because you're bored or want to relieve stress; stress is a natural part of trading; get used to it.
  12. Don't trade too short-term - If you are aiming to make less than 20 points profit, don't undertake the trade. The spread you are trading on will make the odds against you far too high.
  13. Don't be smart - The most successful traders I know keep their trading simple. They don't analyse all day or research historical trends and track web logs and their results are excellent.
  14. Tops and Bottoms - There are no real "bargains" in trading foreign exchange. Trade in the direction the price is going in and you're results will be almost guaranteed to improve.
  15. Ignoring the technicals- Understanding whether the market is over-extended long or short is a key indicator of price action. Spikes occur in the market when it is moving all one way.
  16. Emotional Trading - Without that all-important strategy, you're trades essentially are thoughts only and thoughts are emotions and a very poor foundation for trading. When most of us are upset and emotional, we don't tend to make the wisest decisions. Don't let your emotions sway you.
  17. Confidence - Confidence comes from successful trading. If you lose money early in your trading career it's very difficult to regain it; the trick is not to go off half-cocked; learn the business before you trade. Remember, knowledge is power.
The second and final part of this report clearly and simply details more essential tips on how to avoid the pitfalls and start making more money in your forex trading.
  1. Take it like a man - If you decide to ride a loss, you are simply displaying stupidity and cowardice. It takes guts to accept your loss and wait for tomorrow to try again. Sticking to a bad position ruins lots of traders - permanently. Try to remember that the market often behaves illogically, so don't get commit to any one trade; it's just a trade. One good trade will not make you a trading success; it's ongoing regular performance over months and years that makes a good trader.
  2. Focus - Fantasising about possible profits and then "spending" them before you have realised them is no good. Focus on your current position(s) and place reasonable stop losses at the time you do the trade. Then sit back and enjoy the ride - you have no real control from now on, the market will do what it wants to do.
  3. Don't trust demos - Demo trading often causes new traders to learn bad habits. These bad habits, which can be very dangerous in the long run, come about because you are playing with virtual money. Once you know how your broker's system works, start trading small amounts and only take the risk you can afford to win or lose.
  4. Stick to the strategy - When you make money on a well thought-out strategic trade, don't go and lose half of it next time on a fancy; stick to your strategy and invest profits on the next trade that matches your long-term goals.
  5. Trade today - Most successful day traders are highly focused on what's happening in the short-term, not what may happen over the next month. If you're trading with 40 to 60-point stops focus on what's happening today as the market will probably move too quickly to consider the long-term future. However, the long-term trends are not unimportant; they will not always help you though if you're trading intraday.
  6. The clues are in the details - The bottom line on your account balance doesn't tell the whole story. Consider individual trade details; analyse your losses and the telling losing streaks. Generally, traders that make money without suffering significant daily losses have the best chance of sustaining positive performance in the long term.
  7. Simulated Results - Be very careful and wary about infamous "black box" systems. These so-called trading signal systems do not often explain exactly how the trade signals they generate are produced. Typically, these systems only show their track record of extraordinary results - historical results. Successfully predicting future trade scenarios is altogether more complex. The high-speed algorithmic capabilities of these systems provide significant retrospective trading systems, not ones which will help you trade effectively in the future.
  8. Get to know one cross at a time - Each currency pair is unique, and has a unique way of moving in the marketplace. The forces which cause the pair to move up and down are individual to each cross, so study them and learn from your experience and apply your learning to one cross at a time.
  9. Risk Reward - If you put a 20 point stop and a 50 point profit your chances of winning are probably about 1-3 against you. In fact, given the spread you're trading on, it's more likely to be 1-4. Play the odds the market gives you.
  10. Trading for Wrong Reasons - Don't trade if you are bored, unsure or reacting on a whim. The reason that you are bored in the first place is probably because there is no trade to make in the first place. If you are unsure, it's probably because you can't see the trade to make, so don't make one.
  11. Zen Trading- Even when you have taken a position in the markets, you should try and think as you would if you hadn't taken one. This level of detachment is essential if you want to retain your clarity of mind and avoid succumbing to emotional impulses and therefore increasing the likelihood of incurring losses. To achieve this, you need to cultivate a calm and relaxed outlook. Trade in brief periods of no more than a few hours at a time and accept that once the trade has been made, it's out of your hands.
  12. Determination - Once you have decided to place a trade, stick to it and let it run its course. This means that if your stop loss is close to being triggered, let it trigger. If you move your stop midway through a trade's life, you are more than likely to suffer worse moves against you. Your determination must be show itself when you acknowledge that you got it wrong, so get out.
  13. Short-term Moving Average Crossovers - This is one of the most dangerous trade scenarios for non professional traders. When the short-term moving average crosses the longer-term moving average it only means that the average price in the short run is equal to the average price in the longer run. This is neither a bullish nor bearish indication, so don't fall into the trap of believing it is one.
  14. Stochastic - Another dangerous scenario. When it first signals an exhausted condition that's when the big spike in the "exhausted" currency cross tends to occur. My advice is to buy on the first sign of an overbought cross and then sell on the first sign of an oversold one. This approach means that you'll be with the trend and have successfully identified a positive move that still has some way to go. So if percentage K and percentage D are both crossing 80, then buy! (This is the same on sell side, where you sell at 20).
  15. One cross is all that counts - EURUSD seems to be trading higher, so you buy GBPUSD because it appears not to have moved yet. This is dangerous. Focus on one cross at a time - if EURUSD looks good to you, then just buy EURUSD.
  16. Wrong Broker - A lot of FOREX brokers are in business only to make money from yours. Read forums, blogs and chats around the net to get an unbiased opinion before you choose your broker.
  17. Too bullish - Trading statistics show that 90% of most traders will fail at some point. Being too bullish about your trading aptitude can be fatal to your long-term success. You can always learn more about trading the markets, even if you are currently successful in your trades. Stay modest, and keep your eyes open for new ideas and bad habits you might be falling in to.
  18. Interpret forex news yourself - Learn to read the source documents of forex news and events - don't rely on the interpretations of news media or others.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/113582